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| “By the end of the decade, the phone is the personal computer.” (comment) | ||
| recommended by 2 users | 2010 | ericb on: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? | aged well | predictions | original thread | | ||
| ericb on Jan 1, 2010 | on: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? | view on HN | ||
| 2 users recommended this comment. What they said: |
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11thEarlOfMar Jan 2, 2020 | on: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010) | context | aged well
I thought ericb did very well: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 "not [electronically] tracking your kids will be considered somewhat negligent" |
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chrischapman Jan 1, 2021 | on: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021? | context | aged well
Thanks for those links. I did a quick search for privacy predictions (something I'm interested in) and found some interesting ones - particularly the first one below - it seems to be predicting ClearView AI - but back in 2010. Wow! 2010 -People become more privacy aware after an image search engine with facial recognition is popularized and they realize that any picture ever posted of them by anyone is in the search result for their name. People become less willing to let others take compromising pictures as if they become posted, the link back to them will be made. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 2011 - none 2012 - none 2013 - none 2014 2) Security/privacy will become something normal people and businesses ask about, and ask fairly superficial questions about, during many transactions (e.g. people are going to stop being fucking morons and just relying on "the cloud" for sensitive data without questioning it; they may still end up using the cloud, but will want to make a more informed choice.) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 I'd like to believe that we'll be more privacy-conscious in 2014, but I don't actually think that will be the case. I'd like to see more scrutiny of the data companies collect about users, particularly because they are now collecting more data than ever before. Some companies like Google have staggering amounts of user data. They're probably salivating at the prospect of capturing even more precise user behaviour through an OS (Chrome) that potentailly captures everything you do online. Far from the tech community (who you might hope would be most informed about this) actually raising concerns about the privacy implications of this, I think Google (and other companies) will continue to get away with barely any scrutiny at all. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6995005 2015 2. More hacking scandals come to light and they are used as cover to restrict privacy and empower the intelligence community. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823311 Privacy still will be a target to crush for governments, and so any activity/communication media/etc that could affect that main objective. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823103 - Privacy will become more mainstream. After apps like DarkMail are introduced, Google and the other players will start to reconsider privacy and we, the people will gain. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8823303 2016 - none 2017 - none 2018 - none 2019 - none 2020 - none 2021 - none |
-Unauthenticated free wifi becomes nearly extinct after a major hacking incident is traced to Panera Bread (or similar) and a court rules that companies are liable for the actions of those on their free wifi networks. Realizing this, companies force authentication on everyone or turn off their wifi all together.
-Technology continues to move toward extending our proprioception as we invent solutions that give us continual awareness of our loved ones, their location, and emotional state as if they are a part of us.
-Tracking your children electronically becomes a social norm to the extent that not tracking them is considered somewhat negligent.
-By the end of the decade, the phone is the personal computer.
-External brain-computer interfaces make progress, and typing begins to be replaced by the end of the decade.
-BPA and pthalates are finally banned from the food and personal grooming categories.
-In the later half of the decade, Steve Jobs realizes he is in spitting distance of toppling the Microsoft business near-monopoly and by hook or by crook, puts out the business apps, email servers, etc needed to finish the job. In spite of this, the transition takes years.
-People become more privacy aware after an image search engine with facial recognition is popularized and they realize that any picture ever posted of them by anyone is in the search result for their name. People become less willing to let others take compromising pictures as if they become posted, the link back to them will be made.
-A company makes a practice of hiring experienced older workers that other companies won't touch at sub-standard pay rates and the strategy works so well they are celebrated in a Fortune article.
Edit:
-The technology that will eventually 'cure' cancer is invented--essentially a find and kill tool for a genetic signature. Signature creation is built for more and more cancers and becomes more dynamic with added logic over time.